| Over | Mean MAE (runs) | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| ov 4 | 22.9 | 70 |
| ov 6 | 20.6 | 70 |
| ov 8 | 18.9 | 70 |
| ov 10 | 17.0 | 70 |
| ov 12 | 14.5 | 70 |
| ov 15 | 11.2 | 70 |
| ov 18 | 7.7 | 69 |
How far the projection sits from the actual final, averaged across matches. Shrinking = the engine locks as the innings unfolds.